Political Climate
Mar 26, 2011
America as we knew it under seige from Reid and greens

Across the States: California

A California Superior Court ruling this week is likely to delay the start of the State’s cap-and-trade energy-rationing scheme. The lawsuit, which was brought by environmental groups, alleged that the California Air Resources Board violated the Environmental Quality Act because it failed to consider other, more environmentally stringent climate policies than cap-and-trade. As a result of the ruling, CARB will have to consider other options, which is likely to push back the starting date of California’s energy-rationing scheme, which was supposed to start on January 1 2012.

The lawsuit is further evidence that it is impossible to placate environmental special interests. For them, even energy rationing is insufficient to fight the supposed problem of global warming. This litigation is similar to environmentalist opposition to solar power, due to the fact that it might harm a tortoise, or opposition to hydropower, because it might hurt fish. In fact, there is only one policy that would win over the environmentalist community: deindustrialization.

Senate Looks Ready to Vote on EPA Pre-Emption Amendment

The Senate now appears headed for a floor vote next week on S. 482, which Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell introduced on 15th March as an amendment to the Small Business Innovation Research and Technology Transfer Programs Re-Authorization Act, S. 493.  S. 482, the Energy Tax Prevention Act, was introduced by Senator James M. Inhofe (R-Okla.) and is identical to H. R. 910, which the House plans to vote on as a free-standing bill next month.  McConnell’s amendment would block EPA from using the Clean Air Act to regulate greenhouse gas emissions until authorized by Congress.

Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) postponed a vote on the amendment last week when it became clear that it might come close to the 60 votes required for passage.  First, Sen. Jay Rockefeller (D-WV) introduced his bill to delay EPA regulations for two years as an amendment.  When that seemed to gain little support, Sen. Max Baucus (D-Mont.) introduced an amendment that would codify EPA regulations into law but permanently exempt from regulation smaller stationary sources that emit less than 75,000 tons per year.

The idea behind the Baucus amendment is that it peels off opposition from small businesses, farmers, and ranchers.  The American Farm Bureau Federation sent a strong letter to the Senate supporting Inhofe’s bill and McConnell’s amendment and opposing Baucus’s amendment.  The Farm Bureau points out that farmers and ranchers will still have to pay more for energy and fertilizer even if they are not directly regulated.

It looks like Reid is now thinking about having votes on all three amendments.  McConnell appears to have more than 50 votes for his amendment, but not the 60 required for passage, since the amendment is not germane to the bill and is thus subject to a point of order.  On the other hand, Reid may succeed in getting nearly all the Democrats to vote for the Baucus amendment.  So it could end up with close to 50 votes as well.

House Vote on EPA Pre-Emption Bill Put Off until Early April

The House of Representatives has tentatively scheduled floor debate on H. R. 910, the Energy Tax Prevention Act, for the week of 4th April.  Energy and Commerce Chairman Fred Upton’s (R-Mich.) bill would block EPA from using the Clean Air Act to regulate greenhouse gas emissions until authorized by Congress to do so.  I think that the schedule could easily slip so that the bill doesn’t come to the floor until the week of 11th April, but the House’s Republican majority leadership still seems committed to getting final passage before leaving for the Holy Week and Easter recess, which begins on the 18th.

Environmental pressure groups are running radio and television ads in some districts, most notably in Chairman Upton’s district.  I discuss the American Lung Association’s shameless billboards in a post on GlobalWarming.org.

Two former EPA Administrators in Republican administrations, William D. Ruckelshaus and Christie Todd Whitman, published an embarrassingly inane and self-serving op-ed in the Washington Post today, headlined “Undoing 40 years of green gains?” Ruckelshaus and Whitman write, “Today the agency Richard Nixon created ... is under siege.  They have that backwards.  Americans are under siege by EPA.



Mar 25, 2011
Project 21 Fellow Criticizes Misleading American Lung Association Billboards

Press Release

Washington, D.C. - A member of the Project 21 black leadership network is criticizing the American Lung Association for the misleading nature of its billboard campaign denouncing Rep. Fred Upton.

Upton has introduced legislation, the “Energy Tax Prevention Act,” that bars the Environmental Protection Agency from imposing costly and job-killing carbon dioxide regulations without congressional approval.

The billboards say, “Rep. Fred Upton, protect our kids’ health. Don’t weaken the Clean Air Act.” The billboards feature a photo of a girl wearing a mask to assist her breathing.

Upton’s legislation would not weaken the pollution-control elements of the Clean Air Act, but prevent the EPA from regulating carbon dioxide, which is not a pollutant.  Carbon dioxide regulations have nothing to do with our childrens’ ability to breathe.

“It’s outrageous that a charity purportedly dedicated to health issues is exploiting children to protect the EPA’s power grab,” said Project 21 full-time fellow Deneen Borelli. “The American Lung Association of Michigan’s action against Congressman Upton puts the group’s reputation at risk of becoming known as just another liberal front group trying to manipulate public opinion through fear and deception.”

One billboard is situated directly opposite Upton’s Kalamazoo office.

After the Democratic majority in the Senate declined to adopt a “cap-and-trade” emissions bill in the last congressional session, President Barack Obama ordered the EPA to begin regulating greenhouse gases. He did so under the authority of a 2007 U.S. Supreme Court ruling determining that, although Congress did not state so explicitly at the time (and did not consider carbon dioxide a pollutant at the time), Congress intended for the EPA to have this authority under the Clean Air Act. Upton’s bill specifies that Congress will retain this lawmaking authority for the legislative branch.

“It’s up to Congress to write the laws, and there is little enthusiasm among elected leaders to regulate our nation’s energy industry so that prices will skyrocket,” added Project 21’s Borelli. “The biggest health risks will be derived from the economic consequences of EPA’s regulation greenhouse gas emissions. When families end of paying more and more for power, they will have less to spend on medical care, education and savings.”

A 2010 report by Management Information Services estimated EPA regulation of carbon dioxide could destroy 2.5 million jobs by 2030 and lower the average American household income by $1,200 a year. And, while emissions regulation is expected to increase energy prices, a new study by the American Coalition for Clean Coal Electricity found that lower-to-middle-class families are already paying much more for energy than they did just a decade ago—a 12 percent to 20 percent increase of after-tax income, for example, for a family earning less than $50,000 a year.

“Transferring regulatory authority back to elected lawmakers merely stops a radical agenda at the EPA that will raise energy prices. Carbon dioxide is what we exhale—it doesn’t cause cancer or acid rain,” said Borelli. “This is not the American Lung Association’s fight, and their intervention—in light of receiving EPA funding—also questions the intent.”

According to the EPA’s online Grant Awards Database, the American Lung Association of Michigan received $78,000 from the EPA over the past decade. Grants to the Association and its affiliates during that time total over $20 million.

Project 21, a leading voice of black conservatives since 1992, is sponsored by the National Center for Public Policy Research .

Alan Siddons adds this:

Buteyko Breathing Technique

The Buteyko (pronounced bew-tay-ko) Breathing Technique was developed by Russian-born researcher Konstantin Pavlovich Buteyko. It consists of shallow-breathing exercises designed to help people with asthma breathe easier.

The Buteyko Breathing Technique is based on the premise that raising blood levels of carbon dioxide through shallow breathing can help people with asthma. Carbon dioxide is believed to dilate the smooth muscles of the airways.

See also this New York Times article, A Breathing Technique Offers Help for People With Asthma. 

If this technique is effective, and indeed it appears to be, it’d be quite an irony for CO2-phobaholics like the American Lung Association. 



Mar 25, 2011
Steve McIntyre uncovers another hockey stick trick - where are the academic cops?

By Anthony Watts, WUWT

Just when you think the bottom of the Hockey Stick rabbit hole has been reached, Steve McIntyre finds yet more evidence of misconduct by the Team.

The research was from Briffa and Osborn (1999) published in Science magazine and purported to show the consistency of the reconstruction of past climate using tree rings with other reconstructions including the Mann Hockey Stick. But the trick was exposed in the Climategate dossier, which also included code segments and datasets.

In the next picture, Steve shows what Briffa and Osborn did - not only did they truncate their reconstruction to hide a steep decline in the late 20th Century but also a substantial early segment from 1402-1550:

image
Enlarged.

As I’ve written elsewhere, this sort of truncation can be characterized as research misconduct - specifically falsification. But where are the academic cops? Any comment from Science magazine?

Steve also discusses the code underlying the plot and you can see how the truncation is a clear deliberate choice - not something that falls out of poorly understood analysis or poor programming.

In the comments, Kip Hansen posts the following:

In reference to Mann’s Trick....obliquely, yesterday’s Supreme Court ruling on Zicam (a homeopathic nasal spray) ruled in part:

The Supreme Court has said that companies may be sued under the securities law for making statements that omit material information, and it has defined material information as the sort of thing that reasonable investors would believe significantly alters the ‘total mix’ of available information.

Justice Sonia Sotomayor, writing for the court on Tuesday, roundly rejected Matrixx’s proposal that information can be material only if it meets standards of statistical significance.

“Given that medical professionals and regulators act on the basis of evidence of causation that is not statistically significant,” she wrote, “it stands to reason that in certain cases reasonable investors would as well.”

Thus, hiding or omitting information, even if one feels it is ‘erroneous’ or ‘outlying’ (or whatever they claim) is still possibly fraudulent ( or in this case, scientifically improper) if it would ‘add to the total mix of available information’. Statistical significance is not to be the deciding factor.

In the case of Briffa and Osborn, no statistical fig leaf was applied that justified the truncation of data, so far as I can see. See post and comments.



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